Selective Transmission
The qualifying material sitting next to a quoted figure, in the same document, that does not travel with it.
When not to use it
- Where the source genuinely does not qualify its finding, which is a different and more serious problem.
- As a claim that the quoted figure is wrong, since it is usually accurate and being used outside its conditions.
- Where the condition was published separately or later, which is ordinary scientific correction rather than selective transmission.
Reach for something else instead
- Quoting the condition with the figure — costs a clause and removes the problem entirely at the point where it starts.
- Stating a minimum quotable unit — authors identifying which results cannot be reported without their conditions, which does not exist as practice and could.
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Read more on the blog
- Every chatbot query on earth is 2% of AI's powerTerritory 8 opens on the numbers behind AI's physical footprint, and on the arithmetic in the IEA's own report that almost nobody quotes.
- Inference prices fell 9x a year. Also 900x.The most cited number in AI economics is a single rate. The study behind it reports a range spanning two orders of magnitude, and a caveat that undercuts its own fastest figures.
- 99.98% is a tracking rate, and the field is animationNVIDIA's motion controller is a real advance that routes around the data problem Territory 7 identified. The number attached to it measures something narrow, and it gets weaker the further it travels from the field it was measured in.
- The same PDF says 83% and nobody quotes itTerritory 10 opens on enterprise deployment. The most-quoted statistic in the field is real, measures something much narrower than its use, and is contradicted inside its own source document.
Further reading
- International Energy Agency (2025), Energy and AI — a worked example in the report that undercuts the framing its projections are used for.
- Epoch AI (2025), LLM inference prices have fallen rapidly but unequally across tasks — a hundredfold range and a contamination caveat published alongside the rate that circulated.
Primary sources, listed so you can check the claims on this page rather than take them on trust.
Where people go wrong
- Treating a verified citation as a verified claim, when the citation check passes and the conditions were never in it.
- Assuming a missing qualification indicates concealment, when the usual cause is that it did not fit in a summary.
- Reading only the abstract, which is itself a compression of the paper made by the authors under the same pressure.
At a glance
Where this sits
A starting point. Nothing needs to come before it.
Computed from the prerequisite graph, not assigned. How this works